The Size of the F-35 Market is Overstated

Kenneth Epps Conventional Weapons, Defence & Human Security

Briefing 10-4

Kenneth Epps

The global F-35 market of “up to” 5,000 aircraft cited by Canadian industry and government officials is outdated and now greatly overstated. Realistically, the likelihood of worldwide F-35 sales is closer to 3,500 aircraft. The uncritical use of F-35 sales projections that are now almost 10 years out of date calls into question other claims made by officials about the F-35 program. These include, for example, the $12-billion value of program contracts to which Canadian aerospace industry will have access. If global F-35 sales figures are outdated and now exaggerated, how reliable are other figures and claims about the program?

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